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Navigating Uncertain Times: Industry Outlook for 2024 and Beyond

As we move through these challenging times, the outlook for 2024 brings a mix of cautious optimism and uncertainty. We’re currently forecasting a 2.9% increase over 2023’s performance, with contractor-focused businesses seeing a projected growth of 4.1% year-over-year (YoY). These figures are encouraging, yet other sectors will have their unique trajectories, which we’ll explore in detail later in this report.

Looking ahead to 2025, we’re forecasting a more modest 1.8% YoY growth, supported by a 1.3% increase in electrical supply prices. However, several factors on the horizon could shift these projections significantly. The potential escalation of conflict in the Middle East, extreme weather patterns here in the U.S., the ongoing evolution of the electrical economy, and the upcoming U.S. presidential election are all shaping an unpredictable landscape for our industry.

Key Headwinds to Watch:

  • Middle East Conflict: Potential geopolitical instability could lead to disruptions in global supply chains.
  • U.S. Weather Impacts: Unpredictable storms and natural disasters may affect supply and demand.
  • Electrical Economy: The rapid evolution of sustainable and renewable energy sources will continue transforming market dynamics.
  • U.S. Presidential Election: Political outcomes could alter regulations, policies, and investment trends that directly impact the industry.

Curious about how these forces might shape the next few quarters? For a deeper dive into our comprehensive quarterly report and detailed analysis of these headwinds, subscribe to stay ahead of the curve and keep your business prepared for what’s to come.